Kathmandu. According to a new report published by the World Meteorological Organization on Wednesday, over the next five years (2025-2029), there is a 70 percent chance that average global temperatures will be above 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-Industrial Revolution levels.
According to the report, any one of the next five years is 80 percent more likely to be higher than the 2024 high temperature record.
In addition to being the warmest on record, 2024 was the first calendar year, with global average temperatures measuring 1.5 °C above the 1850–1900 baseline. The period when human activities, such as the use of fossil fuels, began to have a significant impact on climate was higher than previous temperatures.
Maintaining warming to a maximum of 1.5 degrees Celsius is a goal agreed by countries at the Paris Climate Conference in 2015 to avoid the worst effects of climate change. A permanent violation of the 1.5°C limit set in the Paris Agreement refers to long-term warming over a period of 20 or 30 years.
Countries around the world are required to submit the next phase of nationally determined contributions (NDC) or national climate plans for the period 2031-2035 to the United Nations Climate Change Office this year. The collective purpose of these climate plans is to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius.
The organization’s report expects the average global average near-surface temperature for each year between 2025 and 2029 to be 1.2 to 1.9 degrees Celsius higher than between 1850 and 1900.
